Well, BD, you're right about the derth of directly related info regarding "forces required to fracture and seperate" specific to aspen. Aspen is considered a low-strength hardwood.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AspenHowever, here is the perpindicular force necessary to "rupture" (break) a pine board after it is lumber:
90 ~ 100 lbs /sq in of cross sectional area. That's barring any pre-existing damage or knots at the stress point. (w/ stress applied to the greater dimension)
So a kiln dried pine 2x4 should withstand up to about 720 pounds of force. And that sounds about right to me, having moved safes and pianos and car engines...of course, the "span", i.e., the length of the board, makes a huge difference.
For a critter w/ an armspan of 8 feet or more and reputed to have upper body strength similar to a gorilla, it seems plausible that a three inch trunk could be broken without grunting. But it would require some gymnastics. The ape would have to have one hand or foot at the fracture point and the other farther up the trunk, nearly equivelent distance to armspan.
Source:
http://www.engineersedge.com/lumber.htmFor 5" X 5" and larger it is 100 ~ 110 (2,500 lbs of force)
Mitigating factors:
There are several moths that feed on aspen and one that feeds ONLY on aspen.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Lepid...feed_on_poplarsWhat I have been unable to determine is whether the larvae of any of these moth species climb to a uniform height of 13 to 15 feet in the aspens. If they do, and if the predators that feed on those larvae (woodpeckers, primarily) then bore into the trees at that height, then the required forces are reduced substantially (perhaps as much as 1/2).
Boils down to being only a little better than purely guessing.